Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard Struff Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Alcaraz has won 44.7% of points on their second serve, while Struff has secured slightly more at 45.26%. Could this slight edge influence the outcome?
• Alcaraz has a stronger return game on first serves, winning 28.07% compared to Struff's 21.88%.
• When facing breakpoints, Struff demonstrates resilience by saving 61.32% vs. Alcaraz's 53.62%. Does this make Struff more reliable under pressure?
• Overall match performance in the past year shows Alcaraz winning 85.37% of his matches, while Struff has won just 35.9%. How much will this disparity affect their clash?
• Alcaraz's strongest surface is Grass with a 91% win rate, whereas Struff excels on Clay with 61%. Could the surface type provide an advantage?
• In higher-tier tournaments, Alcaraz maintains a 79.17% win rate, compared to Struff's 40% on the Main tour. Will the competitive level impact their play?
• Head-to-head history favors Alcaraz, who leads 3-1 in matches. They've split 14 sets evenly, though Alcaraz often prevails in deciding sets.
• Their recent encounter on Clay saw Alcaraz emerging victorious. Does past performance on this surface predict a continued success?
• Both have mixed success in tiebreaks against each other, each winning twice.
• Over the past year, Alcaraz's opponents had a higher average rank of 58.68 compared to Struff's 105.56, hinting at tougher competition faced.
• In match deciders, Alcaraz excels with a 75% success rate, while Struff's stands at 33%.
• Recently, Alcaraz is more efficient at converting breakpoints, at 29.86% compared to Struff's 25.23%.

Editorial Prediction (July 4, 2025, UTC):

While both players have demonstrated particular strengths, Carlos Alcaraz shows a distinctive advantage in several key areas compared to Jan-Lennard Struff.

Alcaraz's return game, especially against first serves, alongside his notable success in deciding sets, suggests a resilience that will be hard for Struff to counter.

Recent performance and head-to-head history also hint at a potential advantage for Alcaraz, who tends to prevail in critical moments despite their closely matched set wins.

Given the surface suitability and Alcaraz's exposure to and success against higher-ranked opponents, Carlos Alcaraz appears poised to be the favorite in this upcoming match.